Another storm, now threatening North Carolina with heavy snow, will pass off shore on Saturday, giving us the another chance of a light snow – 1 to 3 inches, with the amounts dropping off quickly further west of us and eastern Long Island and eastern Connecticut getting a strong winter storm. A small change in the track of the storm could give us only ‘conversational snow’ or three inches during the day on Saturday.
Here’s the National Weather Service’s words. . .
Forecast models continue to show a developing coastal low moving off the Southeast coast and tracking northeast, passing well south and east of Long Island. Latest forecast guidance continues to point towards a significant snowfall event across eastern LI and southeast Connecticut with a advisory level snow across central Long Island and South Central CT. Most of the forecast guidance also indicating a sharp cut off in the precipitation. The main question, is where does this sharp cut-off occur. Most guidance is showing that cut off somewhere around the NYC or Nassau county line northward. If subsequent models runs trend towards the west, higher snowfall amounts may occur further west. Snow should develop during the morning hours of Saturday and then end across eastern sections in the evening. As for QPF amounts, less than a quarter of an inch for NYC metro and a little over half inch across eastern LI/Southeast Connecticut. With respect to headlines and totals, A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Eastern Suffolk and New London Counties for 4 to 8 inches of snow. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for Western Suffolk County, Middlesex, and coastal New Haven counties for 3 to 6 inches. Further North and West including NYC should see 1-3 inches. Orange and Passaic may see little to no snow.