Colder, then a cold front lays a trap

Friday morning will be very cold, even for winter. This is one of the few times, despite the cold winter, when we could set records for low temperatures for Friday and Saturday. Some snow showers with little or no accumulation this weekend.

Scroll down for the story about snow for next week – after the National Weather Service write-up comparing temperatures for the next few days with historical daily temperature records (not all-time lows – we’re well above that).

.CLIMATE…
HERE ARE THE RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES AND FORECASTED LOW TEMPERATURES
FOR FRIDAY…FEBRUARY 28 AND SATURDAY MARCH 1…AND THE RECORD LOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES AND FORECASTED HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY
AS WELL.

FRIDAY

LOW TEMPERATURE

SITE……..RECORD/YEAR SET…FORECAST LOW
NEWARK……….0/1934…………6
BRIDGEPORT…..10/1950…………6
CENTRAL PARK….5/1934…………8
LAGUARDIA……14/1994…………9
KENNEDY……..15/1950…………8
ISLIP……….13/1994…………8

HIGH TEMPERATURE

SITE……..RECORD LOW MAX/YEAR SET…FORECAST HIGH
NEWARK…………24/1934……………..18
BRIDGEPORT……..27/1980……………..19
CENTRAL PARK……21/1875……………..18
LAGUARDIA………29/2008……………..20
KENNEDY………..30/1980,2008…………19
ISLIP………….28/1994,2008…………19

SATURDAY

SITE……..RECORD LOW/YEAR SET…FORECAST LOW
NEWARK……….7/1980…………13
BRIDGEPORT……6/1980…………9
CENTRAL PARK….5/1884…………16
LAGUARDIA…….9/1980…………18
KENNEDY………8/1980…………14
ISLIP……….14/1994…………8

&&
Glad you made it down here –
The NWS is telling us that the front coming through this weekend will lay out to our south. The lift of warm air over the front will overshadow us. Combine that with a an area of peak wind in the jet stream to our north will result in trapping a lot of air over us with nowhere to go but up.
That sets up for a storm to develop and pass off our coast.

If the front lays the trap further south, less snow. If the front lays the trap further north, more warm air will decrease snow amounts due to mixing with sleet and rain.

If the trap is sprung, then eight inches or more of snow will happen over the NYC and surrounding area. Less far inland and most near the coast. The snow would start Sunday night and end Monday night.

Stay tuned for updates over the weekend.

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