Heads UP! for lots of wind, beach erosion for northeast, but how much snow??

Winds pick up Wednesday as the storm forming off the Carolina coast is cross-checked by a stubborn high pressure system. It’s cranky because it’s stuck in a loop of the jet stream and can’t go anywhere.
Winds can reach up to 40 mph or more, tapering off some on Friday, but still windier than normal.
This will cause beach erosion and flooding at the shoreline.
Here’s the NWS discussion from 9pm Monday……

THE HIGHEST UNCERTAINTY LIES WITH THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION AND
THE THERMAL PROFILES. MODELS ARE RANGING ANYWHERE FROM 1/4 TO 3/4
OF AN INCH ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY TO 1/2 TO 1 INCH IN NYC
AND 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES ACROSS LONG ISLAND. GFS PROFILES LOOK TOO
WARM…AND FOLLOWED MORE OF THE SREF/NAM PROFILES WHICH STARTS THE
PRECIPITATION AS RAIN…CHANGES OVER TO SNOW WED NIGHT…AND THEN
BACK TO RAIN BY THU AFTERNOON. TEMPS WED NIGHT ARE ONLY EXPECTED
TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S…SO A HEAVY WET SNOW IS ANTICIPATED.
THIS IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG WINDS WOULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREES
AND POWER LINES…HOWEVER TO EMPHASIZE…PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND
TYPE REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME AND WILL AFFECT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AND RESULTING IMPACTS FROM IT
. ANOTHER POTENTIAL FLY
IN THE OINTMENT IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NORLUN TROUGH AS THE
SYSTEM DEPARTS. THIS WOULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
WHICH APPEARS WOULD IN THE FORM OF SNOW. MODELS HAVE JUST STARTED
TO PICK UP ON THIS FEATURE AND HAVE INCREASED POPS FOR FRI AS A
RESULT…BUT PLACEMENT OF THIS IS ALSO DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF
THE MAIN LOW PRES SYSTEM.

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